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Expected DA Hike Jan 2026: 4% Jump Likely? Check AICPI Data

Expected DA Hike Jan 2026: 4% Jump Likely? Check AICPI Data

Data Update: The Labour Bureau has released the AICPI figures for November 2025. The index has jumped by 0.8 points, making a 4% Hike strongly likely for Central Govt Employees.
Note: Final DA rate will be confirmed after December 2025 AICPI data and Cabinet approval.

Expected DA Hike Jan 2026: 4% Jump Likely? AICPI Data Analysis

Updated: 18 January 2026 | Source: Labour Bureau (Shimla)

The waiting game for the January 2026 Dearness Allowance (DA) is nearing its end. While the final number depends on the December 2025 AICPI data (releasing on Jan 31st), the trend from July to November paints a clear picture: Good news is coming.

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The Math: How We Reach 4%

The DA calculation formula relies on the 12-month average of the AICPI-IW index. Here is the data so far:

Month (2025) AICPI Index Impact
July 144.2 Start of Calculation
August 144.8 Stable
September 145.4 Rising
October 146.1 Strong Growth
November 146.9 4% Likely

The Verdict: Even if the December index remains stagnant, the average is high enough to indicate a 4% Hike. This would take the total Dearness Allowance to a new high (likely 58%).

When Will You Get the Money?

Historically, the government announces the Jan DA hike in March (usually before Holi).

The Timeline:

1. Jan 31: Dec Data Release (Final confirmation).

2. March 2026: Cabinet Approval.

3. March Salary: Paid with new rate + 2 Months Arrears (Jan & Feb).

Quick Fact Check: Jan 2026 DA

  • Current DA: 54% (As of Dec 2025)
  • Expected Hike: 4%
  • New DA Rate: 58% (Expected)
  • Effective Date: 01 January 2026
  • Arrears: Yes (Jan & Feb)

рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢: рдЬрдирд╡рд░реА 2026 DA рдореЗрдВ рдХрд┐рддрдиреА рдмрдврд╝реЛрддрд░реА?

1. рдЕрдЪреНрдЫреА рдЦрдмрд░: рдирд╡рдВрдмрд░ рдХреЗ AICPI рдЖрдВрдХрдбрд╝реЛрдВ рдХреЛ рджреЗрдЦрддреЗ рд╣реБрдП 4% рдХреА рдмрдврд╝реЛрддрд░реА рд▓рдЧрднрдЧ рддрдп рдорд╛рдиреА рдЬрд╛ рд░рд╣реА рд╣реИред

2. рдХреБрд▓ DA: рдЗрд╕рдХреЗ рдмрд╛рдж рдХреБрд▓ рдорд╣рдВрдЧрд╛рдИ рднрддреНрддрд╛ 58% рд╣реЛ рд╕рдХрддрд╛ рд╣реИред

3. рдХрдм рдорд┐рд▓реЗрдЧрд╛: рдЗрд╕рдХрд╛ рдРрд▓рд╛рди рдорд╛рд░реНрдЪ 2026 рдореЗрдВ рд╣реЛрдиреЗ рдХреА рдЙрдореНрдореАрдж рд╣реИ, рдЬрд┐рд╕рдХреЗ рд╕рд╛рде рдЬрдирд╡рд░реА рдФрд░ рдлрд░рд╡рд░реА рдХрд╛ рдПрд░рд┐рдпрд░ (Arrears) рднреА рдорд┐рд▓реЗрдЧрд╛ред

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